Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 28-54 The Bet: Under with confidence that is marginal Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record couldn’t quite fit their over/under of 49.5. In 2014-15, they came 23.5 games short of attaining their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they’d their over/under set at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 album fell well shy of the 38.5 over/under.
Every year, Vegas provides a realistic anticipation, listens as the people works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market team and then (probably) collectively yells as its prediction either turns out true or too optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than one game was 2012-13, along with the roster was a bit different. So should this season break the mould?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is gifted. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower to the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will most likely be filled with cheering fans, even though some (many?) Of these will be rooting on the resistance.
But Carmelo Anthony remains on the roster, and there’s no end in sight into the endless will-they-won’t-they trade saga. Ron Baker, Frank Ntilikina and ramon Sessions include the rotation. Convincing thickness exists at zero places.
Please. Don’t wager on the Knicks to win over 30 games.
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